Endemic regions
V. vulnificus is endemic to warm coastal waters in subtropical regions like the southeastern United States. Warm waters and low salinity (brackish) conditions favor its growth.
However, Vibrio species are now appearing at higher latitudes previously considered too cold for their survival. In recent years, infections have emerged in Delaware Bay and the Baltic Sea.
As ocean temperatures rise, modeling studies predict that pathogenic Vibrio species will continue expanding their range, particularly toward northern coastal regions once thought safe from these warm-water bacteria.
Major outbreaks
Classically, V. vulnificus infections occur sporadically rather than in large epidemics, but certain events can cause clusters.
In the U.S., unusually high sea temperatures and heat waves have been linked to spikes in cases. For example, over the past few decades, the annual number of wound infections in the Eastern U.S. jumped from about 10 per year in the late 1980s to around 80 by 2018. In that period, the northern limit of cases moved about 48 km per year toward cooler waters.
According to the CDC, there are around 150–200 reported cases of V. vulnificus infections each year.
In Europe, there have been small clusters in recent years. No single outbreak has happened, but trends suggest the disease is emerging in new areas.
Who is most at risk?
Certain groups are much more likely to develop severe illness from Vibrio vulnificus. The risk is high in people with weakened immune defenses or chronic medical conditions.
- Chronic liver disease, including hepatitis, cirrhosis, or alcohol-related damage
- High iron states, such as hemochromatosis
- Diabetes
- Chronic kidney failure
- Immune-compromising conditions like HIV/AIDS, cancer, or long-term immune-suppressing therapy
- Older age, particularly over 50, with men more affected due to higher liver disease rates
These conditions reduce the body’s defenses and often raise blood iron levels, which the bacteria use to grow. In practice, anyone with ongoing health problems should avoid eating raw seafood and should protect wounds from seawater.